Face says it all

♫ A man's face is his autobiography. A woman's face is her work of fiction. -Oscar Wilde

Sure, make assumptions!

• “I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.” ~Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943

• “There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.” ~Ken Olson, president and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977

• “Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?” ~H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927

• “We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.” ~Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962

• “I’m just glad it’ll be Clark Gable who’s falling on his face and not Gary Cooper.” ~Gary Cooper turning down “Gone With the Wind.”

• “This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. ~Western Union internal memo, 1876.

• “The concept is interesting… but to earn better than a ‘C,’ the idea must be feasible.” ~Yale professor on conceptual paper that became FedEx.

• “What would I do? I’d shut it down and give the money back to the shareholders.” ~Michael Dell on Apple, 1997.

• “640K ought to be enough for anybody.” ~Bill Gates, 1981.

• “Everything that can be invented has been invented.” ~Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. Office of Patents, 1899.

• So what is your assumption?

Najemnine.si

Make this local.

Egotripping

If I only had a little humility, I'd be perfect. - Ted Turner

Logical fallacies & Argumentation

All arguments have the same basic structure: A therefore B. They begin with one or more premises (A), which is a fact or assumption upon which the argument is based. They then apply a logical principle (therefore) to arrive at a conclusion (B). An example of a logical principle is that of equivalence. For example, if you begin with the premises that A=B and B=C, you can apply the logical principle of equivalence to conclude that A=C. A logical fallacy is a false or incorrect logical principle. An argument that is based upon a logical fallacy is therefore not valid. It is important to note that if the logic of an argument is valid then the conclusion must also be valid, which means that if the premises are all true then the conclusion must also be true. Valid logic applied to one or more false premises, however, leads to an invalid argument. Also, if an argument is not valid the conclusion may, by chance, still be true.

Top 20 Logical Fallacies (in alphabetical order)

1. Ad hominem An ad hominem argument is any that attempts to counter anothers claims or conclusions by attacking the person, rather than addressing the argument itself. True believers will often commit this fallacy by countering the arguments of skeptics by stating that skeptics are closed minded. Skeptics, on the other hand, may fall into the trap of dismissing the claims of UFO believers, for example, by stating that people who believe in UFO's are crazy or stupid.

2. Ad ignorantiam The argument from ignorance basically states that a specific belief is true because we don't know that it isn't true. Defenders of extrasensory perception, for example, will often overemphasize how much we do not know about the human brain. UFO proponents will often argue that an object sighted in the sky is unknown, and therefore it is an alien spacecraft.

3. Argument from authority Stating that a claim is true because a person or group of perceived authority says it is true. Often this argument is implied by emphasizing the many years of experience, or the formal degrees held by the individual making a specific claim. It is reasonable to give more credence to the claims of those with the proper background, education, and credentials, or to be suspicious of the claims of someone making authoritative statements in an area for which they cannot demonstrate expertise. But the truth of a claim should ultimately rest on logic and evidence, not the authority of the person promoting it.

4. Argument from final Consequences Such arguments (also called teleological) are based on a reversal of cause and effect, because they argue that something is caused by the ultimate effect that it has, or purpose that is serves. For example: God must exist, because otherwise life would have no meaning.

5. Argument from Personal Incredulity I cannot explain or understand this, therefore it cannot be true. Creationists are fond of arguing that they cannot imagine the complexity of life resulting from blind evolution, but that does not mean life did not evolve.

6. Confusing association with causation This is similar to the post-hoc fallacy in that it assumes cause and effect for two variables simply because they are correlated, although the relationship here is not strictly that of one variable following the other in time. This fallacy is often used to give a statistical correlation a causal interpretation. For example, during the 1990’s both religious attendance and illegal drug use have been on the rise. It would be a fallacy to conclude that therefore, religious attendance causes illegal drug use. It is also possible that drug use leads to an increase in religious attendance, or that both drug use and religious attendance are increased by a third variable, such as an increase in societal unrest. It is also possible that both variables are independent of one another, and it is mere coincidence that they are both increasing at the same time. A corollary to this is the invocation of this logical fallacy to argue that an association does not represent causation, rather it is more accurate to say that correlation does not necessarily mean causation, but it can. Also, multiple independent correlations can point reliably to a causation, and is a reasonable line of argument.

7. Confusing currently unexplained with unexplainable Because we do not currently have an adequate explanation for a phenomenon does not mean that it is forever unexplainable, or that it therefore defies the laws of nature or requires a paranormal explanation. An example of this is the "God of the Gapsâ" strategy of creationists that whatever we cannot currently explain is unexplainable and was therefore an act of god.

8. False Continuum The idea that because there is no definitive demarcation line between two extremes, that the distinction between the extremes is not real or meaningful: There is a fuzzy line between cults and religion, therefore they are really the same thing.

9. False Dichotomy Arbitrarily reducing a set of many possibilities to only two. For example, evolution is not possible, therefore we must have been created (assumes these are the only two possibilities). This fallacy can also be used to oversimplify a continuum of variation to two black and white choices. For example, science and pseudoscience are not two discrete entities, but rather the methods and claims of all those who attempt to explain reality fall along a continuum from one extreme to the other.

10. Inconsistency Applying criteria or rules to one belief, claim, argument, or position but not to others. For example, some consumer advocates argue that we need stronger regulation of prescription drugs to ensure their safety and effectiveness, but at the same time argue that medicinal herbs should be sold with no regulation for either safety or effectiveness.

11. The Moving Goalpost A method of denial arbitrarily moving the criteria for "proof" or acceptance out of range of whatever evidence currently exists.

12. Non-Sequitur In Latin this term translates to "doesn't follow". This refers to an argument in which the conclusion does not necessarily follow from the premises. In other words, a logical connection is implied where none exists.

13. Post-hoc ergo propter hoc This fallacy follows the basic format of: A preceded B, therefore A caused B, and therefore assumes cause and effect for two events just because they are temporally related (the latin translates to "after this, therefore because of this").

14. Reductio ad absurdum In formal logic, the reductio ad absurdum is a legitimate argument. It follows the form that if the premises are assumed to be true it necessarily leads to an absurd (false) conclusion and therefore one or more premises must be false. The term is now often used to refer to the abuse of this style of argument, by stretching the logic in order to force an absurd conclusion. For example a UFO enthusiast once argued that if I am skeptical about the existence of alien visitors, I must also be skeptical of the existence of the Great Wall of China, since I have not personally seen either. This is a false reductio ad absurdum because he is ignoring evidence other than personal eyewitness evidence, and also logical inference. In short, being skeptical of UFO's does not require rejecting the existence of the Great Wall.

15. Slippery Slope This logical fallacy is the argument that a position is not consistent or tenable because accepting the position means that the extreme of the position must also be accepted. But moderate positions do not necessarily lead down the slippery slope to the extreme.

16. Straw Man Arguing against a position which you create specifically to be easy to argue against, rather than the position actually held by those who oppose your point of view.

17. Special pleading, or ad-hoc reasoning This is a subtle fallacy which is often difficult to recognize. In essence, it is the arbitrary introduction of new elements into an argument in order to fix them so that they appear valid. A good example of this is the ad-hoc dismissal of negative test results. For example, one might point out that ESP has never been demonstrated under adequate test conditions, therefore ESP is not a genuine phenomenon. Defenders of ESP have attempted to counter this argument by introducing the arbitrary premise that ESP does not work in the presence of skeptics. This fallacy is often taken to ridiculous extremes, and more and more bizarre ad hoc elements are added to explain experimental failures or logical inconsistencies.

18. Tautology A tautology is an argument that utilizes circular reasoning, which means that the conclusion is also its own premise. The structure of such arguments is A=B therefore A=B, although the premise and conclusion might be formulated differently so it is not immediately apparent as such. For example, saying that therapeutic touch works because it manipulates the life force is a tautology because the definition of therapeutic touch is the alleged manipulation (without touching) of the life force.

19. Tu quoque Literally, you too. This is an attempt to justify wrong action because someone else also does it. "My evidence may be invalid, but so is yours."

20. Unstated Major Premise This fallacy occurs when one makes an argument which assumes a premise which is not explicitly stated. For example, arguing that we should label food products with their cholesterol content because Americans have high cholesterol assumes that: 1) cholesterol in food causes high serum cholesterol; 2) labeling will reduce consumption of cholesterol; and 3) that having a high serum cholesterol is unhealthy. This fallacy is also sometimes called begging the question. From The extensive read

I am right

It is impossible to defeat an ignorant man in argument. - William G. McAdoo

German

The reason there is so little crime in Germany is that it's against the law. - Alex Levin

Just be happy

Happiness is nothing more than good health and a bad memory. - Albert Schweitzer

Up yours you workaholic!

All work and no play makes Jack a dull boy and Jill a rich widow. - Evan Esar

It is fucking albatross flavor

• Enjoy it!
• Am still laughing...

Jep, you are just disgusting...(inset name)

There is nothing more dreadful than imagination without taste. - Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

Do this for the local enviroment

• LINK
• Broaden it by displaying milliondollarpage style sheet.
• Mix it and charge to get on the lsit.

Chockin Air alert

• Everyone has a cell phone (yes there are exeptions),
• Everyone likes to breathe as little polluted air as possible (yes there are exeptions),
• The air pollution data is quite ok (yes there are exeptions),

1. Get permission to use public pollution data (including flower dust...)
2. Collaborate with cell phone network porivedrs (usesr pay for information model)
3. Buy/lease the appropriate technology.

• Alternatively sell your idea to an established mobile content provider.
• Don't forget to exploit the localization capabilities of cell phones.

Really real

Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away. - Philip K. Dick

Pravne novice (legal news)

All good lawyers need to keep up with whats new and hot.

1. Figure out how Mashable and alike work &copy&adjust the model
2. Get some members
3. Advertise in some magazines
4. Add ads and pray your market is big enough

Stupid is, stupid does.

Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain. - Friedrich von Schiller

Getting old is more than just loosing hair, teeth and flexibility

It only takes 20 years for a liberal to become a conservative without changing a single idea. - Robert Anton Wilson

Great for Vertigo!

Click this and enjoy!

Mojstrovka, turno smučanje

Internet franchize

• Find the best of the best webpages for the most popular & lucrative internet businesses that aren't taken yet:
• Real estate
• Finance
• Travel
• Retailer (takse guts!)
• Contact the original firm and sign a franchize contract, %would probably work best.
• Translate and adapt.

Free, big beach boards

• A nice marketing opportunity.
• Get some advertisers (I reckon Nivea would be interested)
• Buy some oversized bodyboards that can carry two people and add padels.
• Paint the boards in inovative way...with ads.
• Lend them for free on popular beaches as promotional actions.

Pump it up!

• I am not sure why but in the last few days I have learned, that:
• Turbines are 95% efficient
• Windmills and solar cells are useless if the Watts they produce can't be used.
• Hydro pumping power plants are by far the most efficient way to maintain a healthy grid.
• Produced watta can be stored using superconductors.
• Now its time to get back to the social stuff.

Importing OLED lights

Once the patent rights and LCD lobbies get out of the way this technology is going to revolutionize the way we look at things and light them.

• Keep up with technology / desing advances.
• Cooperate with a company that has some experience with import.
• Cooperate and make money

Only 10 % of women can preform Teabags

One of the most shocking things you can learn from women. Period.